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. the competition in china. a kissing competition today. they were all in love, but this concept was not easy. each man had to kiss his girlfriend while his feet were off the ground. in the second round, each man had to carry his girlfriend while kissing her. the winning couple took home rings. >> now, your weather forecast. >> pictures of fog in the area made for an interesting to me. father -- a fog advisory. 300 flights cancelled this evening because of the fog. some of that travel delay may linger into the morning. we have been helped out a little bit now because of rain showers, and the rain comes through and picked up tiny little bit of fog. that rain may not last all night. the fog could well come back. keep that in mind. you might want to give a little extra time tomorrow morning. the current temperature. we are seeing warmer air moving in through the evening as winds have turned around in the south. we are still an inch and a half below normal. 5.7 inches below normal for this -- precipitation for the year with a couple weeks to go. you can see heavier rains moving out of pennsylvania. the
, china on the long side. >> that does it for us. catch the documentary tonight, behind closed doors at mariott, start at okay. >>> "halftime" is over. second half of the trading day starts now. >> absolutely. spend the night in a hotel with scott walker tonight at 9:00. ats he froo free. fed leaving interest rates the same but that's not the news. there is a new bond buying program and making an historic move keeping interest rates down low so long as unemployment rates stays above 6.5%. tying the rate it an economic trigger. an date. fed chief bernanke gearing up in about an hour's time. apple moving into your living room. yes, sir. tech tightian reportedly closer to testing several tv set designs. will it be the game-changer that so many have been waiting on? and you heard it here on cnbc. j.p. morgan's jamie dimon. taking about the fiscal cliff. do they expect a deal? their take on what happens if we do go over. my partner sue at the new york stock exchange. my partner sue with big interviewes this hour. >> that's right, ty. i spent the afternoon at blackrock's trading room and i
a big rally in china extending one of its biggest rallies in three years. we have a mixed bag in europe with italy up by about .2 of 1%. >> we'll do our best to keep focused on the business day. we'll be following the tragic shooting in connecticut, of course. the new york stock exchange will hold a moment of silence to honor the victims in the next few moments, and we'll be looking at the president's call for meaningful action and the politics of gun control. >> let's get to a road map for this morning. it starts with apple. under pressure once again. even dipping below $500 a share at some point this morning. shares will remain range bound near term. iphone 5 sales and cannibalization among the region. >> other concessions from the gop, the speaker proposing tax hikes for millionaires. could this be the tipping point. moving the talks beyond deadlock. >> a big week for earnings. yes, earnings. fedex, research in motion among the companies reporting. so finally maybe we'll be talking about fundamentals in the stock market more than just the cliff. we've got to talk about apple reversin
for the group. he was promoted second-in-command earlier this year. >>> back to the economy now, china apparently going on an american spending spree. a chinese company agreed to buy a big chunk of insurance giant aig for more than $4 billion after the company got a huge bailout during the u.s. financial crisis. that is not the only bargain that china is picking up from u.s. taxpayers lately. stuart varney on this morning, head of "varney & company" on fox business network. good morning, stuart. good to see you. >> good morning, martha. martha: they're gobbling up our assets in many ways . what do you make of it. >> they are spending the money they have got buying american assets cheap. you mentioned aig. a chinese company is paying $4 billion for aig's plane leasing business. aig remember got $189 billion as a bailout fund that was back in september of 2008. the taxpayers still are the largest shareholder in aig. we sold the plane leasing business to china cheap. second item, a 123 batteries, americans taxpayers gave that company $249 million in grants and another 250 million in tax s
business brief. a new report says china will have the world's largest economy by 2030. the national intelligence council global trends report takes into account fax tores like globalization and environment. europe, japan and russia are expected to continue declining economically. >>> standard charter reached at 327 dal million settlement with u.s. regulators for hiding the identity of iranian customers involved in dollar clearing transactions. the nearly three-year-investigation discovered criminal activity dating back to 2001. >>> boeing finalized a order for turkish airlines for 15, 777 extended range planes. the largest deal by value in turkish airline history. melissa: so is global warming to blame for hurricane sandy, right? former vice president al gore thinks so and blames president obama for not doing enough to fix it. >> it is causing these extreme weather events. dirty energy causes dirty weather. and we have to come to our senses and do something about it. i deeply respect our president. i'm grateful for the steps that he has taken but we can not have four more years of m
up personal computer sector? >> manufacturing data out of china. not bad. 50.6. that's the highest in seven months. although shanghai again trades lower even europe's pmi improves a touch in november. first up, we're one month away from the fiscal cliff and so far the white house and congressional republicans are still in disagreement over how to reduce the deficit and avoid a raft of tax hikes and spending cuts. yesterday our own jim cramer and maria bartiromo were on "meet the press" and cramer had a message for fellow panelists and father of the anti-tax pledge, grover norquist. >> most ceos are republican. they're on board. they're not on board with you. they're not on board with you because they fear your view. they think you do not favor going -- you favor going over the cliff. that's what they think. they think that you favor -- >> just for the record since we're on tv. that's silly if they think that they shouldn't be ceos. >> it doesn't really matter. that's what they think. >> i want you to walk me up to that moment. >> behind the record. i like that too. >> i'm stuck. li
'm with the world journal. could you address growing chinese assertiveness in south china sea and east china sea? and given china just announced they will intercept the ship's that go into territorial waters. so are you going to participate in upcoming defense talks with chinese? and what message do you want to tell them? thank you. >> well, thank you for that question. of course the issues that are being placed today in a south china sea and other areas in the north and central, east asia, i think are quite complicated because of the nature of the territorial disputes, some of them historic, some of them now driven by the need for access to resources in those areas, and that's i think to some degree has motivated some of the activities that you see, seeing there. the u.s. position as you know is that we don't take sides on territorial disputes. there's many of those around the globe, not just in the south china sea. but we do want them resolve peacefully, without coercion. and that we call on all the parties there, including the chinese, to ensure that as they approach these problems that they
30 million people out of poverty. when china joined they brought about 300 million people out poverty. that's been a big story. chinese savings in the world financial market were a part what drove the most recent about new welt wealth in the world. as brilliant a man as allen green span was unable to grasp the reality of our historical moment. it was in part due to that failure that somatic errorrers were made that lead to the meltdown in-housing crisis. in inadequate response, policy to what was really a change in financial market due to growth elsewhere in the world. in the next twenty to thirty years, 3 billion people are joining the global economy. it's going to be a transformation ten times what we have seen which was ten times what happened in japan. now if 3 billion people are suddenly given cognitive freedom, suddenly not thinking just moment to moment, day-to-day, in a existence but are creators, are collaborators, are new contributors, human beings are not just consumers. they are producers. and that's what this is about. it's the possibility that are created when that happe
with envoys from japan, the united states, china, and russia, all members of the six-party talks on north korea's nuclear program. details of the meetings haven't been released, but it's believed the five nations discussed ways to convince officials in pyongyang to cancel the launch. south korea plans to send two aegis vessels capable of tracking missiles to the yellow sea to observe the launch. the monitoring will be done in coordination with u.s. forces. defense officials in seoul are also considering raising the country's alerstatus by one notch. japan's self-defense forces are on the alert in advance of this possible missile launch. the maritime sdf vessel carrying pac-3 missile interceptors has left its home port in hiroshima bound for okinawa. the pac-3 surface-to-air missiles are capable of shooting down debris should it come near the ground. the interceptors will be placed at several sites in okinawa. defense ministry officials expect the missile's flight path could take it over the islands of okinawa. commanders say they'll deploy aegis cruisers in those waters. they say they wou
a million reasons, well, it's a nokia phone, well, it's china. ipad miniis available. this is a stock that's so widely owned. it reminds me of sirius satellite. every doctor, every dentist owns apple. they don't know the price per share, they just know it is the proxy for the market. >> they just accelerated dividends. but i think we're talking now 150 companies in some fashion have accelerated or put forward a special dividend. you put forward a special market share, china is 76, with the market share at least. >> is it a disappointment that apple did not pay a special dividend? is that part of this? >> there was some of that. >> there was some expectation? not that they ever gave any voice to it. they never said a word about it. >> true. >> look, it is widely owned if the stock were -- it's obviously, here's the stock that went from 70 to 50, maybe it goes to 48, 45. everybody who doesn't know what apple is, other than the fact that they use an imac or iphone are selling it. and, look, if you're a hedge fund manager you went from thinking i have to own it, or i have to short it. . >> in
other. they discovered they were twin sisters separated from birth in china it is against the one of the girls was given up for adoption. they share mannerisms and they were married in the same year. the husband has the same first name. >> steve: and they dress alike. >> gretchen: what a fantastic story. the rest of the headlines ttook over 50 years for the murderer of a 7 year old to b brought to justice. jack mccullah will be sentenced for the murder. it is one of the oldest unsolved crimes. he was dismissed as a suspect but arrested last year after the investigation reopened. >> steve: meanwhile a 22 year old woman in oregon jumped in her car and drove off after two kids tried to rob her at gun point. the boys later to be found 7 and 11 years old. demanded money and her phone. >> i was afraid he would shoot my tires or window. i didn't think i was safe. >> brian: the boys were caught and turns out the gun was not loaded it is not known how they got the gun. they were turned over to their familis and the case is expected to go to jv court. >> brian: two students are accused of b
. last, but certainly not least, i think you could see the new leadership team in china come more aggressive reform program than people are expecting. >> all right. michael, good to have you. >> thank you so much. >> michael jones of riverfront. >> financials looking to continue their upward momentum from yesterday when both bank of america and citi hit new 52-week highs. independent research analyst meredith whitney has turned bullish on financials, too. whitney citing several factors including her view that banks are more than adequately capitalized. and guys, the weakest position banks from the crisis are now more than adequately capitalized, thus what they earn going forward, whatever that is, will now be theirs to employ with far greater discretion than has been the case in the past. that's the crux of her note. >> it needs to be listened to. i think we make a little bit much of meredith whitney, to be frank. it's been a controversial call on municipal bonds a couple of years ago that has not been proven correct. she might argue with that, but i think that's in the facts. you
of uncertainty. so you have china engineering a soft landing and starting to recover. you have europe away from the brink. greece got upgraded today. who would have thought it. that is what the market is looking at. saying okay. it is not going to be the worst kcase sharcenario, but you coul extend the middle class tax cuts and be done with it. it is in a recession. >> and i think the market would not like that very much. everybody is expecting that you get the middle class tax cuts done. >> and if you can get china and europe doing better. it is hard to be terribly bearish on the u.s. >> y are going to stay with our politico expert. this is a rally that has surprised experts. it hasn't been that easy to be optimistic. >> it is. i think you have to be cautious here. the probability that this could fall apart is very, very real. >> so, you have to be careful up at these levels as a trader. i have low exposure up here. i have protection. that is how you have to play this market. stay with us please. >> yesterday it looked like washington was inching towards a deal. but today, plan b could be sign
>> made in china. i know, i know, i know your show. >> she knew, and so did thousands of others. tonight here, the big reveal. the videos you sent in, the made in america gifts you put under the tree. and the ones that didn't fit. >> merry christmas, david! >> how you're creating joy and jobs this christmas. >>> and caught on tape. the adorable pet dog stolen by a real life grinch, about to be sold. you won't believe what happened next and what we witnessed today. >>> good evening on this wednesday night. and we hope you had a merry christmas. diane has a few more nights with her family, and what a night to stay indoors. across much of this country tonight, a massive winter storm and already, the ripple effect for travel being felt coast to coast. the monster storm system stretching from indiana to maine, all the way down to north carolina. more than a dozen states under winter watches and warnings this evening. and this is moving fast. nearly a foot of snow in some states already. more than a foot of snow in forecast for syracuse, new york. and in the heartland tonight, the thr
have the ecb. you have the government in china. so if don't fight the fed works then you don't want to take on all of these central banks. and market action has been showing this. when the year closes here, we're going to see new all-time yearly closing highs on the small-cap index, on the midcap index and on the dow transportation index. those are yearly closing highs. the nasdaq -- >> ok. >> excuse me? >> go ahead. i want to jump in and ask you, so you're talking mostly here about equities, for investors who have money in bonds, should they be now transferring money into equities or do you still see that it makes sense to keep some of your money in treasures and other bonds? >> it depends on the investor. if the yield is important to them as income and they won't need to sell their bonds before maturity, then i say hang on to them. i'm not one of those people who thinks that bonds are going to take a big drop. i would be skeptical of trying to play it tactically which means by some bond and then you look to sell them quickly, i wouldn't be doing that. but an investors who -- >> ok
't an accord in congress. >> we will always have china. manufacturing pmi data from last night is the best in 21 months. can we finally say the chinese economy has been stabilized. >> but of course, we start in washington. as you know, congress comes back today. the house gaveling into session now with legislative business starting at 10:00 a.m. the senate returns at 11:00 a.m. eastern. there are only a few hours left to get a deal done. eamon? >> you're already hearing people talk the way they talk on new year's day. a lot of people wish they could go back in time and do things differently. that's the way people are talking in washington about this fiscal cliff. feeling as if this thing suddenly got off the rails. take a listen to mitch mcconnell last night talking about the pace of the negotiations here and the frustration that he's experienced going through all of this over the weekend. take a listen. >> now, i'm concerned about the lack of urgency here. like we all know we're running out of time. this is far too much at stake for political gamesmanship. we need to protect the american
, on tibet, on china, it might not be outrageously brave, but there are consequences, perhaps professional consequences, that one might >> no. none. none. the worst consequence is that the chinese don't let me into mainland china or tibet. tavis: that's a consequence. >> since '93 was the last time they let me in. tavis: that's a consequence. >> that's -- tavis: do your films play there? >> underground. tavis: yeah. but see, that's a consequence. >> underground. tavis: that's a consequence. >> well, it's not a big deal. tavis: china's one of the biggest markets in the world. people want -- the studios want your films to make money. >> i did a movie -- well, i still keep working. how it is, i don't know. [laughter] i'm still amazed that people want me to keep doing it, and i'm going with the flow. hey, it's a great script and great people, i'm still there. i'll do it. but i had this wonderful experience after i was not allowed in china anymore, but i am allowed in hong kong, and tavis: we'll see how much longer that lasts, with the chinese repressing on hong kong. >> yeah, i know, but i thi
powerhouse, apple, famous for its giant manufacturing operations in china, has promised to do something they have not done in nearly 20 years. build some apple computers right here in the united states. and abc's david muir, captain of our made in america team, is here with the latest. >> reporter: diane, as you know, for nearly three decades, apple made its computers in the u.s. tonight, word one of those lines will bear those three words we've been talking so much about here. made in america. tonight, that bold announcement from apple. ceo tim cook now says some of apple's mac computers will never year carry those three words, made in america. cook telling bloomberg business week that the company plans to spend 1$100 millioner in year t move production from the mac line from china back here to the u.s. it was this year, when asked about the factories they used to have here in america that tim cook talked about the possibility of bringing manufacturing back. >> there is some manufacturing revival in the u.s. will there be an apple product ever made again in the united states? >> i want
than china. it is a very significant number. we do it better and less expensively. cheryl: a report saying it would be a good thing for this country if we begin to export natural gas. it would be good for the u.s. economy. some, especially in washington, saying it would be a bad thing. it would be a job killer. >> it is hard to me to figure that out. i think we have to find a balance between exports and the cheap fuel in the united states which will cause that energy less dependence. cheryl: it would be nice to see some job creation. janet, of course, we will have you back in just a little bit. "the closing bell" will be ringing 51 minutes from now. natural gas exports may be poised for takeoff. it may have some unintended consequences. find out why dow chemical chief andrew liveris believes the gas surge is a job killer. wait until you hear what he has to say about dividends before year end. his one-on-one with liz claman is coming up. keep it right here. ♪ streamline the process? at fidelity, we it by merging two toolinto one, combining your customized char with leading-edge an
off. reason for that is we look at china. china's economy is turning the corner. that's also helping with what you folks talked about earlier in the crude oil. see how it plays out. even though it's a light volume week as far as trading -- ashley: still, though, a downward trend with the chart. what's the story with silver? >> well, you saw silver pull back with gold. normally, they run, and now what we're seeing is there's a little bit more demand. china's picking up the pace a little. we are seeing silver that's up, what, 24 cents as of today? not a bad move from a one day, especially in the light volume. ashley: if we get it done on the fiscal cliff, will we see a selloff in metals? >> i don't believe that we will. europe right now is the safe haven. there's no negative news. by any means, they are not done with all that's going on over there. everything is focused here on the u.s. and the fiscal cliff, and until that is resolved, if it gets resolved, the traders are pulling back, volatility's high, and there's going to be very thin volume in the markets. it's not going to take mu
'm with the "world journal" could you address the growing chinese assertivenesses the south china sea and the east china sea -- the foreign ships are going territorial waters. so are you going participate in the coming events? and what can that message -- [inaudible] thank you. >> well, thank you for that question. of course, the issues that are being faced today in the south china sea and other areas in the north and central east asia, i think are complicated because of the nature of the territorial disputes. some of them historic, some of them now driven by the need for access to resources in those areas, and i think, to some degree has motivated some of the activities you see seeing there. the u.s. position, as you know, we don't take sides on territorial dispute. there's many of those around the globe not just around the south china sea. we want them resolved peacefully, without coerce. and that we call on all the parties there including the chinese to ensure that as the approach the problems they do so in a way that avoids con flict within that avoids miscalculation, that using the vehicles a
for its missile program in china. we know they buy things for their gas centrifuge program in china. some things are made in germany. probably made in the u.s. china has been a major gap in this whole system. on sanctions and north korea could face tougher action from china might constrict some of its ability to buy things that it absolutely needs for its nuclear programs. jon: you think it is likely american-made technology is helping north korea with its missile program? >> could be. i don't know the missile program nearly as well as the nuclear but what north korea does, it uses china a sense as a transshipment point because many companies, high-tech companies from america, from europe, have subsidiaries in china, selling to chinese industries and trading companies. north korea works that system very well to end up with those kinds of high-tech items from outside china. and so while i can't speak specifically on the missile program i certainly can on the nuclear and yes, indeed, north korea buys european high-tech equipment and likely u.s. equipment. so it's a problem. china has been m
on "varney & company," apple says it sold a record 2 million 3 c1 iphone 5's this weekend in china. still, one citigroup analyst down grades the stock and says it's got a much lower price target. there are also rumblings about orders for its products this christmas. all right, so, nicole, did we break below 500 bucks this morning? >> we did. we broke down on apple shares below $500 for the first time since february. but in that same breath, i can talk about the fact that their iphone sales over in china broke records on the rollout. stuart: okay, but right now, i'm seeing it expected to open around $510 a share. >> right. stuart: but i did see it pre-market at 499. just for a brief spell so we broke below very briefly and now we've broken back up again. >> and you have that citigroup downgrade which just piles on to the other analysts who have lowered their expectations on apple. stuart: and there's a switch. all right. john boehner bends and makes the president an offer and it includes higher tax rates on the rich. boehner's proposal, higher rates on incomes over a million dollars a year
at the council on foreign relations was spend time working on things like china and mexico and traditional foreign- policy issues, we have moved our agenda and are focused on things domestic. we want to do a report on education. we do not want to repeat what everyone else has done. we want to look at education to the filter of national security and ask the question, what is the relationship between the challenges of k-12 education and the national security of the united states? it did not turn out to be a terribly hard selll. first she cursed me because she knew i had at that point. she was there. she and joel co-chaired this task force report, our version of the commission. the idea was to take people with disparate backgrounds, educators, people do not often come together in the same space, and essentially raise the question about what is the relationship between the educational challenges we face in the national security challenges we face? to recsast this issue. the fact that you are here reflects the fact that you are here at the risk of being redundant and redundant. what we wanted t
critical issues. republican con sis tans on globalization, immigration reform, the china threat or middle east policy. conservatives couldn't even agree on sensible steps on healthcare reform other than to repeal obama care. the republican party will continue to be adrift unless conservatives, still the most influential group within the party have a clear sense of what they stand for and what policies will best serve their cause and the nation's. so beyond the fiscal cliff resolution, we need to find better messengers, better candidates who are also media and tech savvy. whatever our differences, we can all agree as conservatives on a philosophy grounded in limited government, the free market and the judeo-christian tradition and this should be attractive to young and old black and white male or female voters. the most important thing is that we not despair. the problems we face today are no worse than the ones conservatives faced in the 1970 os when remember they had to deal with a weak economy and aggressive soviet union and the fallout from vietnam. they overcame those problems and the
the rnc have served itself better to have someone who was willing to break china on that vibe. are those five folks willing to break china? we know ericsson is. >>>kki haley is holding a news conference at noon. we do at least now know one thing about what she's up to. yesterday haley released a statement saying the state would be best served by a u.s. senator who would work hard day in and day out. same quote, accordingly, i reject the option of a place holder. she is it going to be in tim scott's district, that is why there is some bubbling up there. you have to think that she may be deciding to let this play out a little bit longer and let the media attention help a little bits far as her own base politics is concerned. >>> up next, the macks are back. will be here. they both lost their races in november. find out what these spouses are saying now about the climate in washington and they disagree with how to deal with the looming cliff. what is that like. nothing public. no fiscal cliff photo-op of the day. although, told we may have to watch for twitter hash tags. yo can i help you?
china. >> i think you saw the chinese make clore their opposition to this launch, prior to it and the regret over the fact it took place after it happened. >> we are very much ready to engage with our colleagues on the council. we will be searching for a clear and credible response. >> kim jung un is expected to capitalize on the boost of the internal standing that the launch provided to move to conduct another nuclear test. five years ago, then senator obama vowed for diplomacy with dictators like kim. >> would you be willing to meet with the leaders of iran, syria, venezuela, cuba, north korea? to bring the gap the divides our countries. >> i would. the reason is this. the notion that somehow not talking to countries is punishment to them, which has been the guiding diplomatic principle of this administration is ridiculous. >> yet, it was under the bush administration that the six party talks were launched and achieved the notable success. north korea demolition in 2008 of a water cooling tower used in the nuclear programs. with the obama administration ruling out dire
and move it over to china, cut your wage rate by 80%, produce there, bring the products back into the united states and then the huge new profits you make, share those with your shareholders and the executives. and that's where i disagree this globalization, free trade. they have really been unfair. one place i agree with hoffa. he was with me in the 90s. they are bringing mexican trucks into the united states, driving them on american highways, mexican drivers into rounder-cut american teamsters. i think that's wrong. i think the teamsters -- >> greta: yeah, yeah. but the united states is fighting that, they are shifty. they were saying that they were trying to prevent the trucks from coming into the country not as a trade issue, but saying it was a safety issue. there are a lot of games that the u.s. played on that. >> we weren't playing games. i said, why can't you make american teamster who is make high wages, they can't compete with a teamster in mexico who makes a fifth of the salary, driving on american highways. i think hoffa was right. but when they talk about a civi
, laizzez-faire capitalism, milton friedman capitalism but other places, china is a communist country but it is also a capitalist country, just a different definition of capitalism. in places like singapore where there are small countries where there is a strong collaboration between the government and the market, a different form of capitalism. places like brazil and india where there's a big social agenda because they are developing. in southern europe, northern europe or different forms, in northern europe, the government believes in a strong social safety nets, believe in paying for health care, believe in playing a role in determining what businesses succeed or fail and yet those governments have budgets that are balanced and growing faster than we are and creating more jobs than we are. we have to be a little bit careful when we as we sometimes do in the united states that are high horse and say we understand capitalism, actually what is going on in the world is a competition between different versions and if our version produces more in the quality and less growth is seen as le
.s. engineer who went to china and saw them building a dam. and china's o so interested in having jobs and job creation. and the u.s. engineer goes to china, and he sees them building a dam, and they're all using shovels. and the engineer asks the chinese engineer, why are they using shovels? why don't you have them use modern equipment? we're trying to create jobs. and so the british -- engineer says why don't you give them spoons? [laughter] all jobs are not the same. the idea that we somehow reduce spending or even if we reduce the growth of government spending which would be an important first step does not mean we're going to see retardation in growth levels. those people who actually do capital investment. so i've been arguing as kevin said on entitlement reform. the federal government spent $3.5 trillion last year. of that about 1.5 was social security, medicare and medicaid. three big government expenditure programs are about 45% of government expenditures. those are growing. in 2010 medicare and medicaid combined spent more than social security. social security is a $750 billion progr
, a man entered a school in the province in china, obviously, mentally disturbed, he tried to kill as many children as he could. but all he had access to was a knife. the result, despite many injured, not one child died. the problems that for deuproduc newtown mas ker. you find my column on cnn.com/fareed. let's get started. >>> so, let's get right to it. a conversation about the real economic problems this country faces on my right and on their right glen hubbard the former chief economic adviser of cheney campaign. on my left, peter orzack, obama former budget director and sort of in the middle, the economist, economics editor and kristen editor of reuters digital. i promised we were going to get past the cliff. but i have to ask a few questions about it. you don't think it's that big of a deal if we go over the cliff. >> i don't think it's that big of a deal if we get to january 3rd or january 4th and we don't have an agreement because we'll have one very soon after. if we did nothing for months, it would be disastrous. not only the combination of tax increases and spending cuts push th
. >>> apple downgraded on iphone 5 fears. but what fears? sales of the phones soaring in china over the weekend. 2 million of them sold in the first three days of its launch there. so are fears about apple overblown? president obama says he will use whatever power he has to prevent another massacre like the one in newtown, connecticut. what can be done, if politics is the art of the possible? where does the possible reside in america? we talk solutions today on "power lunch." my partner, sue herera, sue? >> let's look at where major averages sit right now. just a second ago, we were up 80 point on the dow. we are close to the highs of this session so far. nasdaq composite is up 29 on the trading session and s&p 45u7b is up 13. it is that optimism over the fiscal cliff which increased over the weekend after house speaker boehner edged ever closer to president obama's position. indeed, the speaker met with the president at the white house this morning. eamon javers is at the white house. eamon? >> previous meetings between the president and speaker had been telegraphed a little bit. t
. the only culprit that i can think of is china because china has supplied technology to north korea's missile program in the past. we saw that on april 15th where the missile launchers they came from china. they were paraded in pongyang. they sold the missile launchers, probably sold the missiles and sold the same launchers and missiles to pakistan. we shouldn't be surprised china is there. melissa: speaking of money, you brought that up, north korea spent $3.2 billion over 14 years on weapons. annual per capita salary in the country is $2,000. you know, i mean it's a tough comparison. why is this meaningful to us though, that they have achieved this? >> well, because within a year, maybe 18 months, they will be able to put a nuclear warhead on a long-range missile and send it to the united states. we really have no defenses for that. once it is in the air it is very hard for us to shoot it down. which means we don't have that much time to stop the north korean missile program. this is unstable regime after all. this is not like the soviet union, a status quo power. this is country
news out of china over the night. hitting a seven month high, but then the u.s. isf number hit at 10:00 a.m. eastern and a wave of selling. manufacturing activity contracted in november. they say the factory index came in at 49.5 in november. down from almost 52 and october. keep in mind, any number below 50 means contraction. above 50 equals expansion. investors are still worried about tax treatment and dead deals. exelon, the worst of the bunch our first guest has seen it all. the u.s. economy they fall into a recession next year even if congress strikes a budget deal by year end. joining us from stanford, california, martin feldstein. thank you for being with us. the republicans now responding. negotiations well underway to avoid a fiscal cliff. to your point, you recently said, even if we reach a deal, the economy is still at series risk of a recession. >> that is right. we are looking at and economy that is very weak. growth was very disappointed. less than 2% real gdp growth in 2012. we will be struggling to achieve that next year, even without hitting the economy with more fis
energy policy, trade with china, reregulation of wall street. and now this, taxing all those jobs creators, all those small businesses. i don't know why you would want to invest in this country now. gerri: let me ask you this. the congressional budget office has out its numbers. if the fiscal cliff hits they say u.s. gdp would shrink by half a percentage point and that unemployment will rise to over 9%. do you think they have the rights or are they just too conservative? will it be worse? >> if we actually went over the cliff we would be subtracted from domestic demand over $600 billion. that is about four percentage points in gdp. most economists were forecasting in the first half of next year hardly 2 percent growth. if you subtract 4% to spending from that year and a recession that is much deeper. the cbo tense and not be alarmist because they say what they are partisan, but congress read it paycheck, and they don't want to say congress is being irresponsible and thrusting the economy into the next great depression. gerri: then know whether paycheck comes from. did you know tha
. >> which might be a slightly better outturn. china seems to be back on track. is there anything in europe -- what's the tail risk at the moment? >> i think there's two things that could still go wrong in europe. one, there's always political risk. in italy, you do have elections coming up. there's a chance getting a higher share than people anticipate. but even then, the financial forces are going to force any government that comes into power to more or less stick to the plan morsi set out. on the other hand, there's always spain, the worries that with 25% unemployment, that you would see the default rate particularly on residential mortgages shoot up, it's 3% now, which is pretty amazing given the struggles within the economy, but we think it will go up somewhat, but really not any more than people have already priced in. >> and then ten year yields, 5.24%. at the moment, relatively speaking, pretty comfortable. >> maybe a little bit too comfortable and we certainly don't want to get complace complacent.yields are where they were say in march of this year and then subsequently they shot
.n. security resolutions. he also talked about china's decision to the aircraft carrier in the obama administration shifted À la terry resources for the pacific region. this is a half-hour. >> well, good morning and allow hot. i am glad to be here to talk to you about the pacific command, where we are today to where we see ourselves heading in the future. since the last time i was here, we continue to move forward on the rebalanced initiative after as directed by president obama. the rebalanced rows on the strengths of the entire u.s. government, including policy, diplomacy, trade and of course security and that the area i work in. for me, the rebalanced has been and continues to be the strength of the relationships, adjusting our military posture and presents and employ new capacities to ensure we continue to effectively and efficiently contribute to the stability of the asia-pacific as we protect u.s. national interests. of course the keys to success of the innovative access agreement, greatly increased exercises, rotational presence increases come efficient force posture in yeste
to end the civil war in syria. now, remember, both russia and china have blocked u.n. attempts to force out the assad regime. now the russians say they are willing to meet with the syrian opposition. it could open the door for real u.n. action on the ground, action that could mean american involvement. we've got more details in a live report in just a minute. >>> but also, russia's president formally saying no to americans who want to adopt russian children. it is a heartbreaking development for hundreds of americans who are trying to adopt children from russian orphana orphanages. that is happening right now. president vladimir putin signed the adoption ban today. sadly, more than 50 americans who were in the final stages of adopting russian children, they are not going to be able to. and while those families certainly hoping that they're going to allow these adoptions to go through, the country's child rights commissioner says that those kids are going to stay in russia. so why are the russians doing this? the ban is considered a payback of sorts for an american law that was passed tw
and a half percent per year, suddenly it started going up 3% a year as china and india really kicked in. other things being equal, if you change the rate of emission of co2 to the atmosphere, the so-called airborne fraction, the fraction of the co2 that appears in the atmosphere should increase, simply because that quick injection of co2 causes the ocean surface layers to be relatively saturated so it can't get in to the ocean as fast as it used to. but what's actually happened in the last 12 years is the airborne fraction has plummeted. it's now only about 40%. the other 60% is disappearing. and it's not mostly going in to the ocean. the good fraction of it is being taken up, somehow, by the terrestrial biosphere. and i think that's because of the -- we were doubling -- i think we're doubling down on the faustian bargain because we're fertilizing the terrestrial biosphere, both with the co2 in the atmosphere and the combination of that with more nitrogen which will spread in part of -- the nitrogen is being spread around by these aerosols which china and india are putting out and its a
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